* Colombia peso, Brazilian real weaken against dollar* Mexico peso erases gains, weakens; Moody’s warns FranceBy Jeb Blount and Michael O’BoyleRIO DE JANEIRO/MEXICO CITY, Oct 18 (Reuters) - Chile’s peso
weakened against the U.S. dollar, posting the largest intraday
loss among the world’s major currencies, on slower than
expected growth in China.China’s economy grew 9.1 percent in the third quarter
compared to a year earlier, its slowest pace in more than two
years and less than expected. China is Chile’s largest trading
partner.The China growth result, along with declines in steel and
power output and demand for oil and other commodities comes as
the world’s second-largest national economy tries to control
inflation by restricting credit.Copper, Chile’s main export, fell for a second day.”The peso’s declines day are a reaction to the news of
China slowing,” said Juan Pablo Castro, chief Chilean economist
with Spain’s Banco Santander in Santiago. “The peso is very
sensitive to external factors like the cost of copper.”The Chilean peso weakened 1.27 percent to
510.80 to the U.S. dollar, the largest intraday decline among
the 25 most-traded world currencies.Of the more than 150 currencies tracked by Thomson Reuters,
only the thinly traded Sao Tome dobra , Guinea franc and Mauritanian ouguiya weakened more than the
Chilean peso on Monday.Chile’s peso could weaken as much as 5.4 percent more to
540 if copper, a key component in electrical systems, falls
below $3.00 a pound in New York, Castro said.Copper at $3.50 a pound could help the peso gain to 500 to
the dollar said Castro, who’s bank expects the peso to finish
the year at 510 and copper at $3.30Copper for Dec. 1 settlement , the most widely held
copper future on the New York Mercantile Exchange, fell 2.1
percent to $3.31 a pound in New York. In London copper for
three month delivery fell 2.5 percent to $7,309 a
tonne.Colombia, another country that depends heavily on exports
of commodities, also saw its currency weaken. Its peso dropped 0.53 percent to 1,897.60.Colombia is a major exporter of oil, coal and coffee. The
index of the 19 most traded
agricultural, energy and metals raw materials fell for a second
day, shedding 0.77 percent to 312.11.Brazil’s real erased early losses. In a day of
seesaw trading it was 0.50 percent firmer at 1.7595 after
weakening as much as 0.98 percent earlier.Iron-ore fell 2.02 percent to $150.30, the
lowest for the main steel ingredient in 11 months.China is also Brazil’s largest trading partner and Brazil
is the world’s largest producer of coffee, sugar, beef and
orange juice and the second largest exporter iron-ore and
soybeans.Mexico’s peso was firmer in seesaw trading, up
0.19 percent at 13.4486 to the dollar after economic data from
the U.S. showed that chain store sales increased for a second
month. Earlier it weakened as much as 0.6 percent to 13.5369.Mexico gets about 80 percent of its export earnings from
the United States. Mexico is a major oil producer and exporter
with an important mining industry.The Mexican peso’s declines may have been bolstered by
concern about a potential Greek sovereign debt default that
threatens to saddle European banks with large losses, slashing
lending and growth world-wide.France, which may see itself hit with a large bill to
recapitalize money-losing banks if Greece defaults, saw its
10-year bond fall. The yield on that bond, a proxy
for 10-year borrowing costs, rose to their highest levels since
August.Moody’s Investors Service warned it may soon place France
on a watch-list for a potential downgrade of its top-tier “AAA”
credit rating.”The French banks are the big concern for the market, and I
think the Moody’s news makes the market a bit nervous,” said
Jorge Perez-Duarte, managing director of emerging markets at TD
Securities in Toronto.
* Q3 underlying sales growth seen up 5.6 pct - Rtrs pollBy Dominique VidalonPARIS, Oct 18 (Reuters) - Consumption trends for the rest of
the year and in 2012 amid global recession fears will be in
focus along with the outlook for commodity prices when French
food group Danone reports third quarter sales on
Tuesday.The world’s largest yoghurt maker is expected to post higher
sales but slower growth in the third quarter as challenges in
the Russian and U.S. dairy markets and a return to more normal
growth rates at its water business take their toll, and
investors will be keen to hear whether the weakness is
temporary.”Investors are also likely to watch for any initial guidance
on 2012 input cost inflation, which should be more benign than
2011” Societe Generale analysts said in a note.Analysts polled by Reuters on average expect Danone to post
third-quarter sales of 4.8 billion euros, a reported rise of
10.6 percent. Closely-watched underlying sales growth is
forecast at 5.6 percent.This would mark a slowdown from 8.7 percent in the first
half. Danone Chief Executive Franck Riboud said last month he
expected underlying growth of 5-6 percent in the quarter.Danone, whose brands include Actimel and Activia, at the
time kept its targets for full-year underlying sales growth of
6-8 percent and for an improvement in operating margin of 20
basis points.Danone has forecast a rise of 6-9 percent in commodity costs
this year and it raised its prices during the first half to
combat this expected rise.Attention will also focus on the newly acquired Russian
Unimilk business, which has suffered from higher milk costs and
a repositioning of the business towards higher value-added milk
products, which comes at the expense of sales volumes.Russia accounts for 11 percent of Danone’s sales, as does
France, and they are the two top contributors to group sales.Meanwhile, the U.S. market, where Danone generates 8 percent
of sales, has been seeing strong growth in the Greek yoghurt
segment, which has cannibalised other areas where Danone has a
stronger presence, analysts said. To address that situation,
Danone relaunched a Greek yoghurt in July in the United States.Danone’s water business was boosted in the second quarter
by strong demand from Japan after the Fukushima nuclear disaster
and by warm weather in Europe. Third-quarter water sales are
expected to reflect poorer weather in Western Europe.Danone’s acquisition strategy will also be in focus after it
said it was on the lookout for expansion in fast-growing
markets.
* NRC to take years to decide on new reactor licensesBy Scott DisavinoNEW YORK, Oct 17 (Reuters) - Two environmental groups said
on Monday the giant Indian Point nuclear power plant in New
York could be replaced with cleaner, safer energy sources.The Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC) and
Riverkeeper said the region had surplus energy to replace the
2,065-megawatt Indian Point. The groups said the energy could
be tapped by running existing generators at modest additional
cost, with no impact to reliability of the electric supply
until 2020.The group responsible for New York’s power grid disagreed,
saying a shutdown of Indian Point could result in blackouts.Indian Point is in Westchester County along the Hudson
River, about 45 miles north of midtown Manhattan. The plant,
which can power about 2 million homes, supplies about a quarter
of the power used in New York City and Westchester.”We have a wealth of safer energy sources ready to go that
can fully replace the power from Indian Point. When we consider
the human and economic costs of a nuclear crisis in New York,
and the host of benefits from investing in clean energy, the
solution is common sense,” NRDC President Frances Beinecke said
in a release.Entergy , the second biggest nuclear power operator
in the United States and Indian Point’s owner, wants to keep
running the plant for another 20 years and has filed with
federal regulators to renew its two reactors’ operating
licenses before they expire in 2013 and 2015.New York Governor Andrew Cuomo has said he wants Indian
Point shut when its licenses expire, due in part to concerns
for safety in having two nuclear reactors in the New York
metropolitan area, home to about 19 million people.NRC SAYS INDIAN POINT SAFEU.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) staff has
determined the two Indian Point reactors are safe to run for
another 20 years.It will likely take years before the NRC commissioners
decide whether to renew the reactors’ licenses. Before the
commissioners decide, the agency’s judicial board must air the
concerns of opponents. Any decisions can also be appealed to
the agency or potentially to federal court.The new report, prepared for the NRDC and Riverkeeper by
economic consulting firm Synapse Energy Economics, found that
even if the Indian Point units both closed by 2015, there would
be no need for new electric capacity until 2020.The report identified several replacement power options
that could be implemented well before 2020, including about
1,500 MW in savings from new energy efficiency, nearly 600 MW
of renewable energy, 8,000 MW from new proposed transmission
lines and more than 1,000 MW from repowering old existing
natural gas plants in New York City.The New York Independent System Operator (NYISO) has warned
the shutdown of Indian Point would leave the city vulnerable to
blackouts and other reliability problems.”It is clear that alternatives to Indian Point’s power
would result in serious environmental and economic consequences
for New York City and Westchester residents,” Jerry Nappi, a
spokesman for Entergy, told Reuters.New York’s power company, Consolidated Edison , has
said the shutdown of Indian Point would boost the already high
cost of power in the Big Apple.Power prices in New York are already among the highest in
the nation. The average retail price of power in New York is
about 15.5 cents per kilowatt hour versus 9.8 cents for the
national average, according to federal data.The environmental groups estimated the shutdown of Indian
Point would only add about $1 to $5 per month to consumer’s
monthly bills. Other studies however have found that power
costs in New York City and Westchester would rise much more if
Indian Point were shut.
By Allison Joyce
Held twice yearly in February and September, New York Fashion Week features designers from all over the world, displaying their creations on the runways. A small venue of tents pops up in Lincoln Center to house the crowd of celebrities, designers and models who descend upon the city. The event also draws its own share of notable and outrageous personalities, fashionistas, and those who come just to be seen on the scene.
I am now into my fourth year of covering the event and have started to recognize a group of colorful, sassy characters who come to Fashion Week each year. Some are former models, some are bloggers, and others seem to be famous just for their outlandish outfits or feline sidekicks. A few of them stand out because they are decked out in the same colorful suits, ostentatious hair styles and eye catching accessories year after year, appearing in the lobby or on the pavilion like clockwork. Most of them seem to be there for the same reasons, to network and be part of the scene.
While most New Yorkers are sitting at their desks or following their daily routines on a Monday morning, ten blocks away, an entirely different scene is unfolding. Backstage, there is a flurry of hairspray, lipstick, clothes, shoes and champagne. On the runway, Anna Wintour is perched on her front row seat next to Nicki Minaj, watching the show to the boom of house music. Meanwhile, out front in the lobby, Janet Finkel is walking her cat, Natasha, while Cognac Wellerlane struts by, coiffed in her beehive.
It’s all just another crazy day in the game called Fashion Week.
(Click here or on any of the images above to view a slideshow)
Pittsburgh-based Consol expects fourth-quarter coal
production at 14.7-15.3 million tons, up from 14.7 million tons
in the current quarter.However, it expects fourth-quarter gas production at about
36-38 billion cubic feet (bcf), down from 40.4 bcf for the third
quarter.
* Vodafone considering options* Providers will try to pass costs on to RIM-analysts* RIM, some users say service recoveringBy Tarmo Virki and Kate HoltonOct 13 (Reuters) - BlackBerry maker Research In Motion
faced the prospect of a compensation bill from network
providers on Thursday as the world’s dominant provider of mobile
email struggled for a fourth day with service glitches.RIM said services were starting to improve in all affected
regions, reducing disruption for the millions of users hit by
delays and outages.But many in the telecoms industry believe significant damage
has been done to a business that already has its share of
trouble. They see a risk that this week’s disruption will tip
already restless BlackBerry users into the arms of rivals like
Apple.Meanwhile the company’s service provider partners were
looking at how compensation might be handled.”We are reviewing our options in terms of compensation,”
said a spokesman for Britain’s Vodafone , adding that “no
decisions have been taken.”Spain’s Telefonica said on its web site it would compensate
customers, in line with Spanish law. Spanish Consumer
Association FACUA estimated that clients will receive 0.23-1.90
euros ($0.31-$2.62) for each 24 hours of service interruption.The Vodafone spokesman would not be drawn on whether such
costs might be passed on to RIM, but analysts said there was
little doubt operators would try.”In the past there have been outages but they’ve been
limited to an hour here and an hour there and the operators have
been tempted to let that go,” said Will Draper, analyst at
Espirito Santo.”They haven’t been happy about it but it’s not the kind of
thing you go to court over. But this is completely different.
This is a three-day outage. This is 10 percent of your working
month, so I’m pretty sure there will be compensation claims and
I’m pretty sure they’ll try and pass it on to RIM, but my
feeling is it will be very difficult to make it stick.”RIM is unique among handset makers in that it compresses and
encrypts data before pushing it to BlackBerry devices via
carrier networks. Apple and other rivals rely on the carrier
networks to handle all routing and delivery of content. However
other providers are breathing down RIM’s neck with smarter
handsets and copycat service provision.Apple has started rolling out new version of its
iOS software which includes BlackBerry-like iMessage service.One analyst said BlackBerry is a victim of its own success in
that the huge increase in usage over recent years has made its
centralised network architecture vulnerable.”This is the first major disruption to the BlackBerry
service since 2009, during which time the number of BlackBerry
users has doubled,” said Nick Dillon, analyst at technology
specialist consultants Ovum in a note …”Despite the benefits
the network brings in real-time delivery of email and data
efficiency, it remains significant risk for the company.”SERVICES RECOVERRIM said there had been a significant improvement for
services with users saying their services had started to work
again, although there were still some delays.”Service levels are also progressing well in the U.S.,
Canada and Latin America and we are seeing increased traffic
throughput on most services, although there are still some
delays and services levels may still vary amongst customers,”
RIM said in an update on its website.Singapore employees of global news and data provider Thomson
Reuters were still having problems on Thursday but colleagues in
London, Beijing, Tokyo, Jakarta and Bangkok said BlackBerry
service was normal.The outages — and RIM’s sluggish communications with its
customers — have fanned rising dissatisfaction with its
co-chief executives, Mike Lazaridis and Jim Balsillie.Critics have called for a shake-up, saying the top managers
have let the company fall too far behind Apple and other rivals
in a rapidly changing market.RIM’s shares have already tumbled more than 50 percent this
year on a series of profit warnings and product missteps - a
sharp reversal of fortune for a company that once dominated the
smartphone market.Even before this week’s disruptions, many companies had
started to balk at paying a premium to be locked into RIM’s
service. Some are now allowing employees to use alternative
smartphones, particularly Apple’s iPhone, for corporate mail,
and the outage could accelerate the trend.
In an interview with Bloomberg Television, Geithner said
the action by Republicans to block the bill in a procedural
vote would likely result in weaker U.S. growth and employment.”We’re going to do everything we can to maximize the chance
that we get as much of this done as possible,” Geithner said.
“And we should, because this bill includes things that have
always had broad support among Democrats and Republicans,
There’s just no reason why politics should stand in the way of
doing something to help the economy now.”Asked about another bill passed by Senate on Tuesday aimed
at punishing China for an undervalued currency, Geithner said
he agreed with the bill’s objectives, but some parts of it
would violate U.S. international trade obligations.”We are very supportive of the objectives of that bill,
which is to try to make sure that there is a level playing
field around the world … that countries can’t keep their
currencies weak at the expense of American exporters,” Geithner
said. “We have been pushing very, very hard to get China to
move … they’re moving too slowly we want to see them move
faster.”The Senate approved the bill by a 63-35 vote, but House of
Representatives Speaker John Boehner, who has the power to
block the legislation, has said it would be a “dangerous” step.Should the bill advance, Geithner said Congress would need
to address several provisions that are not consistent with U.S.
international obligations.”On the fundamental issue, we have a serious economic
problem with China which we’re working to address and we’re
open to any effective way, consistent with our international
obligations, to help us create more opportunities for U.S.
exporters,” he said.Geithner also repeated his view that European policymakers
will take the necessary steps to limit the fallout from the
continent’s sovereign debt crisis, but added they must act more
quickly and with more force and ensure European banks can
continue to borrow and function.
ASML was expected to report a 22 percent rise in third-quarter net profit to 330 million euros ($450 million), a Reuters poll found, while sales were seen up 19 percent to 1.397 billion.A bellwether for Europe’s technology sector, ASML is the world’s largest maker of semiconductor lithography machines which map out electronic circuits on silicon wafers, competing with Japanese groups Canon and Nikon.Its order book development is seen as a barometer for expectations of big chipmakers such as Intel, the world’s largest, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, the world’s biggest contract chipmaker.Victor Bareno, analyst at SNS Securities, said he expected a pick-up in ASML’s fourth-quarter orders from the third quarter, adding that since market conditions have not improved, orders will still be at depressed levels.What appeared to be a pause in orders for the chip equipment industry is turning into a full-blown downturn, said Bareno, adding he expected orders to bottom out by the end of 2011 and the chip market to recover during the first half of next year.ASML’s fourth-quarter order book was seen at 500-700 million euros — well below the record year-ago figure of 2.315 billion but above the indicated level for the third quarter, which the company said would not exceed 500 million euros.Global chipmakers and foundries have been battling falling demand as the industry was hit by economic uncertainties, supply chain disruptions due to the March earthquake in Japan, and customer inventory adjustments.Last month, research firm Gartner said semiconductor inventories were too high and it expected the sector to go through a moderate inventory correction during the coming few quarters with production and sell-through expected to return roughly to balance by the second quarter of 2012.Some chipmakers have reportedly said they will cut capital spending in 2012 amid low visibility in the sector and lower growth expectations in some chip markets next year.ASML chief executive Eric Meurice said on July 13 customers were taking “some time” to assess semiconductor end-demand trends for 2012 before making decisions about how and when they would determine capacity plans.Despite the expected drop in third-quarter orders, Meurice said at the time ASML’s 2011 sales would still be the best yet for the company, topping 5 billion euros. He was expected to reiterate this full-year sales target on Wednesday.Surging demand for smartphones and tablet computers are the bright spots for the chip sector at the moment as demand for desktop and laptop computers wanes.So, while Apple has prospered from demand for its iPads and iPhones, and the Galaxy smartphone series has become Samsung’s main profit engine, other firms with different chip requirements have not done so well.AU Optronics, LG Display, Micron Technology and Intel are among those that have recently trimmed outlooks for some products due to weaker demand.ASML has a global market share of around 70 percent and counts Intel, Samsung Electronics, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing among its customers.($1 = 0.733 euro)
The American Federation of Television and Radio Artists and the labels have been negotiating since August and despite about 16 meetings, have been unable to come to an agreement.No more negotiating sessions are scheduled.Major issues standing between the two sides include health care and pension security and transparency of accounting.The current contract, which covers about 14,500 people, expires December 31.AFTRA and representatives from Sony, UMG, Warner, EMI, Disney and most of their subsidiary labels began formal negotiations August 15 in New York. Talks went for two weeks. After that, the sides met for another week in Los Angeles.Because they couldn’t reach an agreement, they met for a final day in New York on October 5 — but still couldn’t agree.On October 2, AFTRA’s national board of directors gave the union’s negotiating committee permission to seek a strike authorization vote.”While AFTRA is not currently on strike in Sound Recordings, the AFTRA National Board has unanimously authorized the Negotiating Committee to take all actions necessary, up to and including … a strike authorization vote,” according to a statement AFTRA released Friday.According to the union, “the AFTRA Negotiating Committee stands ready, willing and able to meet and receive a fair proposal from the major labels in order to resolve a fair contract for the session singers and royalty artists whose talents provide the music that keeps these multibillion dollar corporations in business.”The contract was originally set to expire in 2010, but was extended for one year.The Sound Recordings Code “covers singers, royalty and non-royalty artists, as well as announcers, actors, comedians, narrators and sound effects artists who work on recordings in all new and traditional media and all music formats, in addition to audio books, comedy albums and cast albums.”According to the union, the code generates more than $140 million annually in AFTRA-covered earnings and benefits for both major artists and session singers around the country.
By Peter Thal Larsen
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.
Europe’s banks may need to re-sit their summer exam. Regulators are looking for ways to inject more capital into the region’s troubled lenders. One potential quick fix is to use the same data as in July’s discredited stress tests, but impose haircuts on sovereign debt. But this wouldn’t be enough. The authorities should also raise the minimum capital ratio that banks need to clear.
The flaw in July’s tests was that banks did not have to mark down the government bonds they currently hold at face value. As a result, only eight of the EU’s 90 largest lenders flunked the exam, with a capital shortfall of just 2.5 billion euros. Since then, worries about sovereign debt have spread from Greece and Portugal to Spain and Italy, threatening a systemic crisis.
Ideally, regulators would conduct another test. But that would take months, and Europe does not have the luxury of time. An alternative is to re-run the tests with the same data, while forcing the banks to mark all sovereign bonds to current market prices.
In that scenario, 18 banks would fail, with a capital hole of 40 billion euros, according to Breakingviews’ stress test calculator. But that would not be enough to restore confidence. The International Monetary Fund puts the capital shortfall of European banks at between 100 billion and 200 billion euros. Some analysts have come up with even higher numbers.